Brazil's balance of payments has been calculated since 2001 in accordance with criteria suggested in the 5th edition of the International Monetary Fund's Balance of Payments Manual (BPM5). The Balance of Payments account can be divided into two groups: (i) current account transactions and (ii)...

This paper reviews recent developments in the theoretical and empirical analysis of balance-of-payments crises. A simple analytical model highlighting the process leading to such crises is first developed. The basic framework is then extended to deal with a variety of issues, such as:...

The purpose of this work is to analyze the balance-of-payments-constrained growth in Brazil considering Thirwall's Law (1979). To this end, we estimate export and import demand functions using two econometric models: vector error correction and structural state space model for the period of...

This paper reviews recent developments in the theoretical and empirical analysis of balance-of-payments crises. A simple analytical model highlighting the process leading to such crises is first developed. The basic framework is then extended to deal with a variety of issues, such as:...

Using an extended model to calculate the level of growth consistent with the behavior of the balance of payments and the simple structure equation proposed by Thirlwall, a growth rate larger than the observed rate was estimated. This is explained by the accumulated surplus in the commercial...

Extensive prior research on the economics of European monetary union highlighted some potential risks (the known unknowns) but overlooked others (the unknown unknowns). Asymmetries among participating countries, the potentially destabilising character of a one-size-fits all monetary policy, the...