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Expectations play a central role in modern macroeconomics. The econometric learning approach, in line with the cognitive consistency principle, models agents as forming expectations by estimating and updating subjective forecasting models in real time. This approach provides a stability test for...
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General Theory because, in this essay, Keynes relaxed his core assumption of decreasing marginal returns to labour. Non …-decreasing marginal returns, however, do not sit comfortably with the prime innovation of the General Theory: the Principle of Effective … General Theory thus has to be put into perspective …
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Do labour institutions influence how wages respond to the business cycle? Such responsiveness can then shape several economic outcomes, including unemployment. In this paper, we examine the role of two key labour market institutions - collective bargaining and temporary contracts - upon wage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486321
In the time domain, the observed cyclical behavior of the real wage hides a range of economic influences that give rise to cycles of differing lengths and strengths. This may serve to produce a distorted picture of wage cyclicality. Here, we develop frequency domain methods that allow us...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320990
Employment and hours appear far more cyclical than dictated by the behavior of productivity and consumption. This puzzle has been called "the labor wedge" -- a cyclical intratemporal wedge between the marginal product of labor and the marginal rate of substitution of consumption for leisure. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458110
Do fluctuations of the labor wedge, defined as the gap between the firm's marginal product of labor (MPN) and the household's marginal rate of substitution (MRS), reflect fluctuations of the gap between the MPN and the real wage or fluctuations of the gap between the real wage and the MRS? For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459647
In the period since the 1960's, as in other periods, aggregate time series on real wages have displayed only modest cyclicality. Macroeconomists therefore have described weak cyclicality of real wages as a salient feature of the business cycle. Contrary to this conventional wisdom, our analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474765
This paper is an examination of cyclical real wage behavior in the United States since World War II. Like most previous aggregate studies. ours finds little cyclicalitv in aggregate industry real wage data. On the other hand, our analysis of longitudinal microdata from the Panel Study of Income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476166