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The aim of this study was to determine whether referendums affect stock price risks and returns, using an event study approach. Daily end period data for the Swiss stock market index, the STOXX European market index, and the Swiss/US exchange rate running from the beginning of 2004 to June 2021,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014233147
Momentum profits can be explained by exposure to risks omitted from common factor models (distress risk, idiosyncratic … risk, and covariance with corporate bonds) and underreaction to innovations in these risks. Momentum strategies tend to go … long risky stocks with high expected returns. Consistent with risk as a partial explanation of momentum profits, long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104921
I show that variation in economy-wide uncertainty causes asymmetric stock price responses to firm earnings surprises. The uncertainty that attends bad earnings news that arrives during expansions with greater economy-wide uncertainty occasions larger price declines. This is because news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068873
-scheduled macroeconomic announcements. The first risk arises from the uncertain content of the news itself and is directional in nature, while … the second risk is associated with the “heightened uncertainty” in anticipation of a pre-scheduled announcement, relating … in particular to its potential market impact. Theoretically, we show that it is the resolution of this second risk prior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870731
This paper studies the long-run risk embedded in the news about future investment-specific technology (IST). The IST …-run consumption risk hypothesis, we find that the IST news shock carries a significantly positive risk premium in the cross section of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972792
-scheduled macroeconomic announcements. The first risk arises from the uncertain content of the news itself and is directional in nature, while … the second risk is associated with the "heightened uncertainty'' in anticipation of a pre-scheduled announcement, relating … in particular to its potential market impact. Theoretically, we show that it is the resolution of this second risk prior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850794
prior to the earnings announcement day (EAD) reflecting a bimodal risk-neutral distribution for the underlying stock price …-ante option-based signal for event risk in the underlying stock. Returns on delta-neutral straddles around EADs are significantly … lower in the presence of concave IV curves, showing that investors pay a high premium to hedge against this event risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612931
The first Global Climate Strike on March 15, 2019 has represented a historical turn in climate activism. We investigate the cross-section of European stock price reactions to this event. Looking at a large sample of European firms, we find that the unanticipated success of this event caused a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299288
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