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functioning of EMU as an optimum currency area (OCA), that are difficult to reconcile with the sovereign debt crisis. We try to …-term fluctuations in the euro area have become more strongly correlated with financial variables like credit and house prices, and less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865689
This work aims to assess whether the hypothesis of endogenous synchronisation of shocks is verified in the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). A state-space model, which yields time-varying coefficients, is estimated with structural demand and supply shocks to several European economies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917260
The paper analyses the role of monetary policy for cyclical movements of investment and asset markets in East Asia and Europe based on a Mises-Hayek overinvestment framework. It is shown how the gradual global decline of interest rates has triggered wandering overinvestment cycles in Japan,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011655779
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034265
The last twenty years have brought a bulk of inconsistent results on the determinants of business cycle synchronization (BCS). Researchers have usually focused their attention on a limited set of possible determinants, not accounting for model uncertainty. For these reasons, Bayesian Model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012123356
The paper analyses the transmission of global financial shocks to individual member states of the European Monetary Union (EMU), in which monetary policy is delegated to the ECB and financial markets are fully integrated. Using a panel VAR model, we show that the asymmetric effects of global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011495568
This paper studies the process of business cycle synchronization in the European Union and the euro area. As our … in the core and peripheral members of the euro area. Our analysis of quarterly data covering the first two decades of the … euro area shows that there was a certain synchronization tendency in the first years of the common currency. However, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626655
susceptibility to asymmetric shocks transmitted mostly through trade channels) - preparedness of the Polish economy to the euro … euro area members) and continues to rise. This confirms the increasing complementarity of Poland's economy with the … economic structures of the euro area partners which reduces the probability of asymmetric shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026961
If there is a high level of synchronization among euro zone country housing markets, the European Central Bank can … harder time setting policy. Given the importance of housing to the macroeconomy, such co-movement across euro zone countries … are the first to use endogenous break methods to explicitly test for whether the introduction of the euro has changed home …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960961
euro as their currency and recent research has shown that countries currently pursuing this goal indeed fulfill the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232406