This paper introduces a simple methodology to forecast international trade. The main innovation is to calculate non-unitary expenditure elasticities of import demand implied by non-homothetic preferences in the previous year to be further combined with the current change in expenditure to...

The dynamics of demand, moderately negative in comparison with the pessimistic forecasts, allowed the industry to avoid a reduction in output in January, to revise the production and sales plans for the better. However, according to regular polls by the Gaidar Institute, these factors also...

Dieser Beitrag erörtert die Wechselbeziehungen zwischen sozialer Infrastruktur und multilokaler Lebensführung. Hierbei zeigt sich, dass neben den beiden Kriterien "Vorhandensein von sozialer Infrastruktur" und "Zugänglichkeit zu sozialer Infrastruktur" (vor allem in Bezug auf...