We define a class of margin loans and derive the distribution of defaults. The default risk from an individual loan can be priced as a series of forward starting options with a knockout. Under simple price dynamics this has an explicit solution

For ten years interest rates in the Eurozone have been declining. This has created a situation where loan or bond prepayments and subsequent refinancing transactions are potentially beneficial for debtors. The advantageousness depends on the costs induced. We analyze the favorability of debt...

This paper investigates whether mortgage loan servicers renegotiate a distressed loan differently depending on whether the loan is held on their own books or by private investors. Using the proprietary mortgage metrics database that has servicer-provided loan renegotiation details, we conduct a...

Due to the significant share of mortgage loans in the portfolio structure of a large number of commercial banks, monitoring the ability of the household sector to repay debts is very important for financial stability. Since the accumulation of non-performing loans in banks' balance sheets is...

This paper utilizes a statistical model of competing risk proportional hazards to study default and prepayment in unsecured personal loans. The model accounts for fixed interval sampling and unobserved borrower heterogeneity. A simulation experiment with four different baseline hazards and four...

We propose a parsimonious model with adverse selection where delinquency, renegotiation, and bankruptcy all occur in equilibrium as a result of a simple screening mechanism. A borrower has private information about her cost of bankruptcy, and a lender may use random contracts to screen different...