There are always two major sources of uncertainty in measurements related to lifetime surveys: variation among the observations and imprecision of individual observation called fuzziness. The typical statistical analysis is based on variation among the observations and does not consider the...

In the Longstaff-Schwartz Least-Squares Monte Carlo (LSM) method for American option pricing, the early-exercise strategy is based on a regression of future option values on current state variables. The dependence between continuation values and future cash flows results in potential model...

This paper illustrates the usefulness of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods in approximating DSGE model posterior distributions. We show how the tempering schedule can be chosen adaptively, explore the benefits of an SMC variant we call generalized tempering for "online" estimation, and...