//--> //--> //--> //-->
Toggle navigation
Logout
Change account settings
EN
DE
ES
FR
A-Z
Beta
About EconBiz
News
Thesaurus (STW)
Research Skills
Help
EN
DE
ES
FR
My account
Logout
Change account settings
Login
Publications
Events
Your search terms
Search
Retain my current filters
~accessRights:"free"
Search options
All Fields
Title
Exact title
Subject
Author
Institution
ISBN/ISSN
Published in...
Publisher
Open Access only
Advanced
Search history
My EconBiz
Favorites
Loans
Reservations
Fines
You are here:
Home
Forecasting the presidential p...
Similar by subject
Narrow search
Delete all filters
| 1 applied filter
Year of publication
From:
To:
Subject
All
Prognoseverfahren
16,161
Forecasting model
15,385
Theorie
6,862
Theory
6,515
Wahlverhalten
5,716
Voting behaviour
5,444
Prognose
5,407
Forecast
4,781
Schätzung
2,838
Estimation
2,647
Zeitreihenanalyse
2,300
Time series analysis
2,162
Kapitaleinkommen
1,961
Capital income
1,941
Wirtschaftsprognose
1,889
USA
1,860
Economic forecast
1,829
United States
1,667
Wahl
1,470
Volatilität
1,462
Börsenkurs
1,453
Election
1,445
Volatility
1,413
Deutschland
1,405
Share price
1,400
Welt
1,315
World
1,220
Inflation
1,098
Frühindikator
1,094
EU-Staaten
1,086
Leading indicator
1,070
Germany
990
EU countries
980
Bayes-Statistik
884
Neue politische Ökonomie
844
Bayesian inference
838
Künstliche Intelligenz
835
Artificial intelligence
830
Public choice
827
VAR-Modell
795
more ...
less ...
Online availability
All
Free
Undetermined
14,448
Type of publication
All
Book / Working Paper
22,872
Article
3,387
Journal
48
Other
4
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Working Paper
10,288
Graue Literatur
9,622
Non-commercial literature
9,622
Arbeitspapier
9,071
Article in journal
2,764
Aufsatz in Zeitschrift
2,764
Hochschulschrift
327
Article
310
Thesis
179
Research Report
156
Conference paper
78
Konferenzbeitrag
78
Aufsatzsammlung
64
Collection of articles written by one author
62
Sammlung
62
Amtsdruckschrift
60
Government document
60
Collection of articles of several authors
59
Sammelwerk
59
Forschungsbericht
48
Konferenzschrift
45
Aufsatz im Buch
30
Book section
30
Statistik
24
Amtliche Publikation
22
Statistics
19
Advisory report
15
Gutachten
15
Systematic review
13
Übersichtsarbeit
13
Book Part
11
Case study
11
Conference Paper
11
Fallstudie
11
Conference proceedings
6
Bericht
5
Handbook
3
Handbuch
3
Market information
3
Marktinformation
3
more ...
less ...
Language
All
English
24,710
German
991
Undetermined
412
French
85
Spanish
51
Portuguese
16
Polish
15
Dutch
12
Hungarian
10
Finnish
8
Romanian
6
Russian
3
Swedish
3
Czech
2
Danish
2
Turkish
2
Hebrew
1
Croatian
1
Lithuanian
1
Norwegian
1
Slovenian
1
Ukrainian
1
Vietnamese
1
more ...
less ...
Author
All
Ravazzolo, Francesco
130
Franses, Philip Hans
106
Gupta, Rangan
105
Clark, Todd E.
104
Diebold, Francis X.
104
Potrafke, Niklas
101
McAleer, Michael
90
McCracken, Michael W.
86
Marcellino, Massimiliano
78
Hyndman, Rob J.
74
Kapetanios, George
72
Koopman, Siem Jan
72
Wolfers, Justin
71
Schorfheide, Frank
67
Outlaw, Joe L.
65
Koop, Gary
62
Rossi, Barbara
62
Raulston, J. Marc
61
Giannone, Domenico
60
Richardson, James W.
59
Timmermann, Allan
59
Armstrong, J. Scott
58
Pierdzioch, Christian
58
Siliverstovs, Boriss
57
Zitzewitz, Eric
57
Knapek, George M.
56
Lindner, Axel
53
Pesaran, M. Hashem
53
Mitchell, James
52
Swanson, Norman R.
52
Fritsche, Ulrich
51
Lehmann, Robert
51
Poutvaara, Panu
51
Kilian, Lutz
50
Dijk, Herman K. van
49
Holtemöller, Oliver
49
Lahiri, Kajal
49
Casarin, Roberto
46
Dijk, Dick van
46
Schultz, Birgit
45
more ...
less ...
Institution
All
National Bureau of Economic Research
639
Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
51
Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH
25
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
25
International Labour Organization (ILO), United Nations
21
European University Institute / Department of Law
19
Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle
19
HAL
15
World Bank
15
University of Strathclyde / Department of Economics
13
CESifo
11
Sonderforschungsbereich Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse
10
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik
10
University of Cambridge / Department of Applied Economics
9
European Central Bank
8
Europäische Kommission / Gemeinsame Forschungsstelle
8
Kanada / Department of Industry <1993->
8
Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies
8
Texas A&M University / Agricultural and Food Policy Center
8
Centre d'Économie de la Sorbonne, Université Paris 1 (Panthéon-Sorbonne)
7
Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz Universität Hannover
7
Institut national de la statistique et des études économiques <Frankreich> / Direction des études et synthèses économiques
7
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
7
Panepistēmio Kypru / Department of Economics
7
Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research
7
University of Cambridge / Faculty of Economics
7
Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
7
Berenberg-Bank
6
GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies
6
German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)
6
Hamburgisches WeltWirtschaftsInstitut
6
Ifo Institut
6
Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB)
6
Schweiz / Bundesamt für Statistik
6
Suntory-Toyota International Centre for Economics and Related Disciplines
6
Bundesinstitut für Bau-, Stadt- und Raumforschung
5
California Agricultural Experiment Station / Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics
5
Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel
5
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
5
Econometrisch Instituut <Rotterdam>
5
more ...
less ...
Published in...
All
NBER working paper series
621
NBER Working Paper
574
CESifo working papers
412
Working paper
349
Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
306
Discussion paper series / IZA
253
CESifo Working Paper
210
Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute
210
ECB Working Paper
191
IMF working papers
170
Working paper series / European Central Bank
166
CESifo Working Paper Series
162
Working paper / Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash University
134
IZA Discussion Paper
133
Discussion paper
130
Risks : open access journal
124
Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM
117
Working papers
117
Working Paper
116
International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy : IJEEP
110
CREATES research paper
99
Finance and economics discussion series
99
Econometric Institute research papers
98
Working paper series
96
ifo Schnelldienst
94
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper
90
APSA 2010 Annual Meeting Paper
78
IMF Working Paper
76
CAMA working paper series
75
IZA Discussion Papers
72
Ifo Schnelldienst
70
SFB 649 discussion paper
69
Cambridge working papers in economics
68
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland working paper series
68
Technical report / Sonderforschungsbereich 475 Komplexitätsreduktion in Multivariaten Datenstrukturen, Universität Dortmund
68
Research paper series / Swiss Finance Institute
63
Financial innovation : FIN
62
Working paper / Norges Bank
61
Konjunktur aktuell
60
Warwick economic research papers
58
more ...
less ...
Source
All
ECONIS (ZBW)
23,911
EconStor
1,729
RePEc
601
USB Cologne (business full texts)
35
BASE
27
USB Cologne (EcoSocSci)
5
Other ZBW resources
3
more ...
less ...
Showing
1
-
10
of
26,311
Sort
relevance
articles prioritized
date (newest first)
date (oldest first)
1
Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election with the Fiscal Model
Cuzan, Alfred G.
-
2012
In this paper, I summarize the Fiscal Model and use it to make a
forecast
of President Obama's share of the two party …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102752
Saved in:
2
Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election With the Fiscal Model
Cuzan, Alfred G.
-
2012
The fiscal model of presidential elections is summarized and used to
forecast
President Obama's share of the two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109218
Saved in:
3
Fiscal Model
Forecast
for the 2016 Presidential Election
Cuzan, Alfred G.
-
2016
The Fiscal Model of Presidential Elections, as modified after its failure to
forecast
President Obama's reelection in … 2012, accounts for all but three out of sample retrodictions since 1916. This year, its point
forecast
has the incumbent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985379
Saved in:
4
Using polls to
forecast
popular vote share for US presidential elections 2016 and 2020 : an optimal
forecast
combination based on ensemble empirical model
Easaw, Joshy Z.
;
Fang, Yongmei
;
Heravi, Saeed M.
-
2021
interest in this study is the short- and long-term forecasting and, thus, we consider from the short
forecast
horizon of 1-day …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177191
Saved in:
5
Political awareness, microtargeting of voters, and negative electoral campaigning
Shipper, Burkhard C.
;
Hee Yeul Woo
-
2014
, but candidates are not allowed to bluntly lie about their
ideology
. Every voter votes for the candidate she expects to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255046
Saved in:
6
Decomposing U.S. Political
Ideology
: Local Labor Market Polarization and Race in the 2016 Presidential Election
Fan, Maoyong
-
2020
Donald Trump's presidential campaign highlighted protectionism of U.S.-born workers at a time of growing income inequality, racial tensions, and labor market polarization. Our study investigates if and how voters' life circumstances affected election behavior between 2012 and 2016, and how voter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836646
Saved in:
7
Priming
Ideology
: Why Do Presidential Elections Affect U.S. Judges
Chen, Daniel L.
-
2020
Politicians' behavioral changes as an election nears have typically been attributed to the incentive effects of an election. I document that behavioral changes can occur even for unelected judges.Using data from 1925-2002 on U.S. appellate judges, who are appointed for life, I find that just...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855303
Saved in:
8
Priming
ideology
: why presidential elections affect U.S. judges
Chen, Daniel L.
-
2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012217219
Saved in:
9
Priming
Ideology
? Why Presidential Elections Affect U.S. Judges
Chen, Daniel L.
-
2023
Politicians’ behavioral changes as an election nears have typically been attributed to the incentive effects of an election. I document that behavioral changes can occur even for unelected judges. Using data from 1925-2002 on U.S. appellate judges, who are appointed for life, I find that just...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347147
Saved in:
10
Priming
Ideology
? Why Presidential Elections Affect U.S. Judges
Chen, Daniel L.
-
2022
The change in elected officials’ behavior when an election nears has typically been attributed to incentive effects. I document that behavioral changes can occur even for unelected judges. Using data from 1925-2002 on U.S. appellate judges, who are appointed for life, I find that just before...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241686
Saved in:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Next
Last
Results per page
10
25
50
100
250
A service of the
zbw
×
Loading...
//-->