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The purpose of this paper is to construct adequate seasonal ARIMA models, using Box-Jenkins methodology, and to implement them in order to forecast short run flows of tourist arrivals and tourist overnight stays in Montenegro. Time scope covers ten years, from 2001/01 to 2010/12, while twelve...
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capture and explain the patterns and the determinants of German tourism demand in Croatia.Design – The present study is based …
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-contained economic activity.As key determinants of thetourism demand are not fully identified to some extent different forecasting models … an efficient model to forecast the tourism demand. As a result, the accuracy of the conventional models is found to be … significantly boosted with the Fourier modification joined. In the empirical case study of international tourism demand in Taiwan …
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The increasing use of demand-side management as a tool to reliably meet electricity demand at peak time has stimulated … the growing literature on models used to study demand, consumer baseline (CBL) and demand response in the electricity … and demand response in the power market and their relationships. It enhances demand response in the electricity market …
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Electricity load forecasts are an integral part of many decision-making processes in the electricity market. However …, most literature on electricity load forecasting concentrates on deterministic forecasts, neglecting possibly important … information about uncertainty. A more complete picture of future demand can be obtained by using distributional forecasts …
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