In this paper we will introduce a hybrid option pricing model that combines the classical tempered stable model and regime switching by a hidden Markov chain. This model allows the description of some stylized phenomena about asset return distributions that are well documented in financial...

We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...