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Market risks are the prospect of financial losses- or gains- due to unexpected changes in market prices and rates. Evaluating the exposure to such risks is nowadays of primary concern to risk managers in financial and non-financial institutions alike. Until late 1980s market risks were estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003024227
We examine convenience yields and risk premiums in the EU-wide CO<sub>2</sub> emissions trading scheme (EU-ETS) during the first Kyoto commitment period (2008-2012). We find that the market has changed from initial backwardation to contango with significantly negative convenience yields in futures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976976
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In January 2005 the EU-wide CO2 emissions trading system (EU-ETS) has formally entered into operation.Within the new trading system, the right to emit a particular amount of CO2 becomes a tradable commodity - called EU Allowances (EUAs) - and affected companies, traders and investors will face...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966227
An important issue in fitting stochastic models to electricity spot prices is the estimation of a component to deal with trends and seasonality in the data. Unfortunately, estimation routines for the long-term and short-term seasonal pattern are usually quite sensitive to extreme observations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105296
Many of the concepts in theoretical and empirical finance developed over the past decades – including the classical portfolio theory, the Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing model or the RiskMetrics variance-covariance approach to VaR – rest upon the assumption that asset returns follow a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663369
This paper is intended as a guide to building insurance risk (loss) models. A typical model for insurance risk, the so-called collective risk model, treats the aggregate loss as having a compound distribution with two main components: one characterizing the arrival of claims and another...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663370
The Heston model stands out from the class of stochastic volatility (SV) models mainly for two reasons. Firstly, the process for the volatility is nonnegative and mean-reverting, which is what we observe in the markets. Secondly, there exists a fast and easily implemented semi-analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663372
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The simulation of risk processes is a standard procedure for insurance companies. The generation of simulated (aggregated) claims is vital for the calculation of the amount of loss that may occur. Simulation of risk processes also appears naturally in rating triggered step-up bonds, where the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003022707