In this article we examine how model selection in neural networks can be guided by statistical procedures such as hypotheses tests, information criteria and cross validation. The application of these methods in neural network models is discussed, paying attention especially to the identification...

This paper develops a statistical model of wealth distribution that imposes no parametric structure on the fluctuations of household wealth. In this general setting, we use new techniques to obtain a closed-form household-by-household characterization of the stable distribution of wealth and...

Many financial decisions, such as portfolio allocation, risk management, option pricing and hedge strategies, are based on forecasts of the conditional variances, covariances and correlations of financial returns. The paper shows an empirical comparison of several methods to predict...

Researchers are often faced with the challenge of developing statistical models with incomplete data. Exacerbating this situation is the possibility that either the researcher’s complete-data model or the model of the missing-data mechanism is misspecified. In this article, we create a formal...

"Statistical adequacy" is an important prerequisite for securing reliable inference in empirical modelling. This paper argues for more emphasis on replication that specifically assesses whether the results reported in empirical studies are based on statistically adequate models, i.e., models...

A general model specification test of a parametric model against a nonparametric or semiparametric alternative is studied. The test statistic employs a fixed kernel, not varying by a bandwidth. This test is proved to be consistent, the asymptotic distribution is derived and shown to be...