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A large part of the current debate on US stock price behavior concentrates on the question of whether stock prices are driven by fundamentals or by non-fundamental factors. In this paper we put forward the hypothesis that a present value model with time-varying expected returns provides an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503717
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001617689
In this paper, we develop and examine a simple interactive agent‐based model, where the distribution of returns generated from the model takes into account two stylized facts about financial markets: fat tails and volatility clustering. Our results indicate that the risk tolerance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011886606
The paper investigates the role of speculation in the Liverpool cotton futures market between 1921 and 1929. The … analysis is based on historical descriptions of the working of speculation in commodity markets and is related to the tenets of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085214
Noise traders are agents whose theoretical existence has been hypothesized as a way of solving certain fundamental problems in Financial Economics. We briefly review the literature on noise traders. The is an entry for The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics, 2nd Edition (Palgrave Macmillan:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761467
Noise traders are agents whose theoretical existence has been hypothesized as a way of solving certain fundamental problems in Financial Economics. We briefly review the literature on noise traders. The is an entry for The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics, 2nd Edition (Palgrave Macmillan:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466412
We investigate the dynamics of prices, information and expectations in a competitive, noisy, dynamic asset pricing equilibrium model. We show that prices are farther away from (closer to) fundamentals compared with average expectations if and only if traders over- (under-) rely on public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897551
In various agent-based models the stylized facts of financial markets (unit-roots, fat tails and volatility clustering) have been shown to emerge from the interactions of agents. However, the complexity of these models often limits their analytical accessibility. In this paper we show that even...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003077003
predicting the fundamentals is a product of endogenous short-term speculation. For a given, positive level of residual payoff …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134234
This paper studies whether individual investors have information advantage before earnings announcements on an emerging market using a unique data set of TWSE. Consistent with existing research on American market, it is surprising that pre-event individual investor trading is also positively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087670