We examine the value of expert picks published by SmartMoney, a popular investment periodical. Most can be described as ‘hot' stocks – those that have experienced run-ups in price prior to publication. These stocks subsequently underperform the market by 0.45% per month in the six-month...

This case study documents the failure of sell-side analyst independence with respect to their coverage of Enron. More independent intermediaries including short sellers and the financial press ultimately raised important questions about the quality of Enron's management, the integrity of its...

We assess the perception of professional forecasters regarding the effectiveness of unconventional monetary policy measures announced by the U.S. Federal Reserve after the collapse of Lehman Brothers. Using survey data collected at the individual level, we analyze the change in forecasts of...

Die Berücksichtigung der zukünftigen Entwicklung des Wechselkurses ist sowohl für internationale Unternehmen als auch für international tätige Investoren unabdingbar. Allerdings ist die Erstellung von Wechsel- kursprognosen schwierig, da bis zum heutigen Zeitpunkt kein allgemein anerkanntes...

We study the use of residual income (RI) valuation methods by U.S. sell-side equity analysts, particularly as compared to DCF. We document that RI valuations are rare — just 1/16th as common as DCF — and that different RI and DCF valuations are not infrequently provided by the same analyst...

Using recommendations and target prices on initial public offerings (IPOs), we examine the impact of regulations in the US and European Union (EU) markets that were aimed at curbing conflicts of interest in sell-side research. Conflicted analysts, proxied by whether their brokerage houses acted...