The flow of information between futures and spot prices may vary over time, in particular during periods of stress. This article analyses the information content of the Bund Future and German government bonds during 1998 and test whether it is constant over time. The use of high-frequency data...

Während Beteiligungskapital in den anglo-amerikanischen Ländern seit vielen Jahren aktiv ist, hat sich in Deutschland erst langsam eine breite Debatte über seine Chancen und Risiken entwickelt, angetrieben durch mehrere spektakuläre Unternehmenskäufe.Insbesondere viele Beschäftigte...

Every year 400,000 entrepreneurs fail and 60,000 file for personal bankruptcy. The option to declare bankruptcy provides entrepreneurs with insurance against the financial consequences of business failures. However, it comes at the cost of worsened credit market conditions. In this paper, we...

Kreditportfolio, Verlustprognose, Mehrjahreshorizont, Heilungswahrscheinlichkeit, Kundenbeziehungskündigung. - Credit portfolio, loss prediction, multi-period, cure-probability, relationship-cancelation

Our paper addresses firm size as a driver of systematic credit risk in loans to small and medium enterprises (SMEs). Key contributions are the use of a unique data set of SME lending by over 400 German banks and relating systematic risk to the size dependence of regulatory capital requirements....

In this paper we show that informational and real frictions in CDS markets strongly affect CDS premia. We derive this main finding using a proprietary set of individual CDS transactions cleared by the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation. We first show that CDS traders adjust the CDS premium...

The behavior of asset prices is analyzed in a general equilibrium model where agents not only have preferences over consumption but also (implicitly) over their beliefs. Agents endogenously choose to disregard information contained in a signal if it conflicts with their desired beliefs. In this...