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Do speculative traders anticipate or follow USD/EUR exchange rate movements? : new evidence on the efficiency of the EUR currency futures market
Hossfeld, Oliver; Röthig, Andreas - 2015
between large and small traders, and an upper bound of total speculation. To account for the large number of testable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011391722
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Hedging of exchange rate risk and regression dependence
Broll, Udo; Kit, Pong Wong - 1997
The paper presents a model of a risk-averse exporting firm under exchange rate risk. We focus on the economic implications of basis risk. It is shown that the regression dependence assumptions between spot and futures exchange rates are essential in analyzing optimal hedging and export...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009623408
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Currency Carry Trades : The Role of Macroeconomic News and Futures Market Speculation
Kim, Suk-Joong - 2018
We investigate carry trade opportunities in major currencies against the US Dollar over the period 2 Jan 1999 to 31 Dec 2012. There is evidence of significant Australian Dollar (AUD), Euro and Japanese Yen (JPY) carry trades during non-crisis periods. The AUD (JPY) was an investment (a funding)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926637
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Currency Carry Trades : The Role of Macroeconomic News and Futures Market Speculation
Kim, Suk-Joong - 2020
We investigate carry trade opportunities in major currencies against the US Dollar over the period 2 Jan 1999 to 31 Dec 2012. There is evidence of significant Australian Dollar (AUD), Euro and Japanese Yen (JPY) carry trades during non-crisis periods. The AUD (JPY) was an investment (a funding)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856511
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The Forward Exchange Market, Speculation, and Exchange Market Intervention
Eaton, Jonathan; Turnovsky, Stephen J. - 2021
This paper develops a stochastic equilibrium model of an open economy incorporating speculation in the forward exchange … market. The model is used to examine two issues. The first is the role of speculation in stabilizing the economy against … stochastic disturbances. Much risk averse speculation stabilizes domestic income against disturbances in the domestic bond market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247678
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The Forward Exchange Market, Speculation, and Exchange Market Intervention
Eaton, Jonathan - 1983
This paper develops a stochastic equilibrium model of an open economy incorporating speculation in the forward exchange … market. The model is used to examine two issues. The first is the role of speculation in stabilizing the economy against … stochastic disturbances. Much risk averse speculation stabilizes domestic income against disturbances in the domestic bond market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477963
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Carry and trend following returns in the foreign exchange market
Clare, Andrew D.; Seaton, James; Smith, Peter N.; … - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010531060
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Carry Trade and Liquidity Risk : Evidence from forward and Cross-Currency Swap Markets
Chang, Yang - 2012
This study empirically examines the effect of foreign exchange (FX) market liquidity risk and volatility on the excess returns of currency carry trades. In contrast to the existent literature, we construct an alternative proxy of liquidity risk - violations of no arbitrage bounds in the forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101415
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The Forward Premium Bias, Carry Trade Return and the Risks of Volatility and Liquidity
Shehadeh, Ali - 2016
In this paper, we analyse the relationship between the currency carry return and volatility and liquidity risk factors. We find that both categories of risk factors are relevant to understanding and explaining carry return, with an outperformance for volatility ones especially the global FX...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989965
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Uninformative Feedback and Risk Taking : Evidence from Retail Forex Trading
Ben-David, Itzhak - 2016
We document evidence consistent with retail day traders in the Forex market attributing random success to their own skill and, as a consequence, increasing risk taking. Although past performance does not predict future success for these traders, traders increase trade sizes, trade size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994895