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Since the explosion of the Russia-Ukraine war, the global stock markets have experienced considerable oscillation. Using data for 86 countries, this paper provides a comprehensive analysis to identify the roles of geopolitical, economic, institutional, humanitarian, industrial, and firm-related...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290103
We propose a model where monetary policy is the key determinant of aggregate asset prices (financial conditions). Spending decisions are made by a group of agents ("households") that respond to aggregate asset prices, but with noise, delays, and inertia. Asset pricing is determined by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334351
Spanish Abstarct: Este documento responde a la pregunta de muchos alumnos: ¿tan mal está España? Lo primero: diferenciar entre España y el “Estado” (un trozo importante de España). Se muestran los datos principales a los que hemos tenido acceso. Las cuentas del Estado Español son muy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014359231
We investigate the emergence of momentum and reversal anomalies in a general equilibrium model with complete markets and cognitively biased agents, accounting for the presence of representativeness heuristic, conservatism, and anchoring and adjusting in their beliefs. We characterize anomalies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014531948
Bubbles in asset markets have been documented in numerous experimental studies. However, all experiments in which bubbles occur pay dividends after each trading day. In this paper we study whether bubbles can occur in markets without dividends. We investigate the role of two features that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003592714
We examine how analysts' incentives to build their reputation through accurate forecasting changes the relative association between analyst recommendations and rigorous valuation models versus valuation heuristics. Controlling for the firm-specific difficulty of valuation, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758377
This paper reveals that in addition to fundamental factors, the 52-week high price and recent investor sentiment play an important role in analysts' target price formation. Analysts' forecasts of short-term earnings and long-term earnings growth are shown to be important explanatory variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857242
We examine whether financial analysts understand the valuation implications of unconditional accounting conservatism when forecasting target prices. While accounting conservatism affects reported earnings, conservatism per se does not have an effect on the present value of future cash flows. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905357
This paper examines the dynamics of euro-denominated (EUR) long-term interest rate swap yields. It shows that the short-term interest rate has an economically and statistically significant effect on EUR swap yields of different maturity tenors, after controlling for various key macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014531240
자산은 자본가 계급의 실천 및 사고방식을 형성하는 데 결정적인 개념이다. 하지만 자본 주의에 관한 비판적 분석은 상품교환을 자본주의 분석의 초석이라 승인하는 경향이 있다. 이 논문은 다른 접근법을 취한다. 나는...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014432067