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Over the past two years, the IMF staff has been developing a new multicountry macroeconomic model called the Global Economy Model (GEM). This paper explains why such a model is needed, how GEM differs from its predecessor model, and how the new features of the model can improve the IMF’s...
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of the unemployment experience are taken into account: i) displacement risk, measured by the probability of moving from … employment into unemployment; ii) job-search effectiveness measured by the probability of moving from unemployment into … the effect is positive in the most recent periods. For native transition from employment to unemployment a complementary …
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socio-economic groups and their potential correlation with perceived concerns about labour market competition. Against the … competitors on the labour market. (iii) The perception of potential competition from migrants strongly predicts fear of job loss …
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This paper analyzes the dynamic effects of different macroeconomic shocks on unemployment in Germany. In a first step …, a cointegration analysis of productivity, prices, real wages, employment, and the unemployment rate reveals two long run … display that price, demand, and labor supply shocks affect unemployment significantly in the short/medium run. Interestingly …
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