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It is commonly argued that dynamic consistency, consequentialism and non-expected utility are incompatible. The first aim of this paper is to rebut such arguments, by targeting the implicit assumption that the relevant contingencies correspond to objective resolutions of uncertainty (that is,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010832945
A theory of incomplete preferences under uncertainty is proposed, according to which a decision maker’s preferences are indeterminate if and only if her confidence in the relevant beliefs does not match up to the stakes involved in the decision. The author uses the model of confidence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011147698
The authors provide possibility results on the aggregation of beliefs and tastes for Monotone, Bernoullian and Archimedian preferences of Cerreia-Vioglio, Ghirardato, Maccheroni, Marinacci, and Siniscalchi (2011). The authors propose a new axiom, Unambiguous Pareto Dominance, which requires that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011147710
One apparent reason for deferring a decision – abstaining from choosing, leaving the decision open to be taken by someone else, one’s later self, or nature – is for lack of sufficient confidence in the relevant beliefs. This paper develops an axiomatic theory of decision in situations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011147719
This paper studies portfolio allocation in the international financial market when investors exhibit ambiguity aversion towards assets issued in foreign locations. Entrepreneurs located in each country have access to a risky technology and want to attract capital. The authors characterize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011120239
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Although much of the theoretical literature on ambiguity works under the assumption of uncertainty aversion, experimental evidence suggests that it is not a universal behavioral trait. This paper introduces and axiomatises the family of α-UA (for α-Uncertainty Attitude) preferences: a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012266826
This paper develops a belief update rule under ambiguity, motivated by the maxim: in the face of new information, retain those conditional beliefs in which you are more confident, and relinquish only those in which you have less confidence. We provide a preference-based axiomatisation, drawing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012259555