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process bifurcates, or, as colored visualization shows but not black-and-white, its pitchfork bifurcation branches quot … regime are windows of stability, e.g., at kappa=3+2sqrt=3.8284. At kappa=4, pure chaos, the process is extremely sensitive to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012740649
In this paper, we first re-visit the inference problem for interval identified parameters originally studied in Imbens and Manski (2004) and later extended in Stoye (2008). We take the general criterion function approach and establish a new confidence interval that is asymptotically valid under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652936
In this paper, we study partial identification of the distribution of treatment effects of a binary treatment for ideal randomized experiments, ideal randomized experiments with a known value of a dependence measure, and for data satisfying the selection-on-observables assumption respectively....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652944
Monte Carlo experiments establish that the usual "t-statistic" used for testing for first-order serial correlation with artificial regressions is far from being distributed as a Student's t in small samples. Rather, it is badly biased in both mean and variance and results in grossly misleading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005074101
Even casual observation reveals obvious spatial patterns in labor-market outcomes and policies across the developed democracies, and within the European Union particularly. Labor-market policies entail significant cross-border spillovers, so strategic interdependence among developed democracies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014216459
We use the panel data social network analysis program SIENA to estimate the effect of actor reputation derived from past performance on alliance formation, while controlling for other constant actor attributes, and network position. We distinguish between individual reputation based on the past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014174260
The Ramsey model is an analytical structure aimed at explaining intertemporal optimal growth. As a consequence, business cycles cannot be generated resorting to this structure, unless one introduces some source of inefficiency. Our central argument is that firms forecast future demand using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808520
Mostly used estimators of Hurst exponent for detection of long-range dependence are biased by presence of short-range dependence in the underlying time series. We present confidence intervals estimates for rescaled range and modified rescaled range. We show that the difference in expected values...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005014958
This paper studies the dynamics of Mexican inflation by using a wavelet multiresolution analysis on 16 indexes of the Mexican Consumer Price Index. This enables us to estimate the long-term trend, seasonality, and local shocks of the inflation series, even when the series are non-stationary. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322616
In this study we combine clustering techniques with a moving window algorithm in order to filter financial market data outliers. We apply the algorithm to a set of financial market data which consists of 25 series selected from a larger dataset using a cluster analysis technique taking into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604994