Chong and Ng (2008) find that the Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) rules can generate excess return in the London stock exchange. This paper revisits the performance of the two trading rules in the stock markets of five other OECD countries. It is...

This paper studies the profitability of applying technical analysis that signals the entry and exit from the stock market in three Chinese stock markets - the Shanghai, Hong Kong and Taiwan Stock Exchanges. The Simple Moving Average (MA) and its extensions, Exponential MA, Dual MA, Triple MA,...

The performance of analysts’ forecasts has attracted increasing attention in recent years. However, as yet, no empirical study has investigated the nexus between the analyst forecast dispersion (AFD) and excess returns surrounding stock market crashes in any depth. This paper attempts to fill...

This paper explores the effects of price limits on the stock market of China during global market turmoils. The characteristics of stocks that hit the price limits more frequently under market turmoil are investigated. It is found that the price limit system increases volatility significantly...

This paper examines the asymptotic inference for AR(1) models with a possible structural break in the AR parameter β near the unity at an unknown time k₀. Consider the model y_{t}=β₁y_{t-1}I{t≤k₀}+β₂y_{t-1}I{tk₀}+ε_{t}, t=1,2,⋯,T, where I{⋅} denotes the indicator function. We...

Chong and Ng (2008) find that the Moving Average Convergence–Divergence (<i>MACD</i>) and Relative Strength Index (<i>RSI</i>) rules can generate excess return in the London Stock Exchange. This paper revisits the performance of the two trading rules in the stock markets of five other OECD countries. It is...

Most of the existing autoregressive models presume that the observations are perfectly measured. In empirical studies, the variable of interest is unavoidably measured with various kinds of errors. Thus, misleading conclusions may be yielded due to the inconsistency of the parameter estimates...

This paper studies the profitability of the Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD) trading rule under three different crossing rules: the MACD zero line, the 9-day and 14-day signal lines. It is found that the trading rules perform well in the stock markets of Germany and Hong Kong. Our...

This note examines a new problem in the structural-change literature. A fractionally integrated model is assumed to experience a change in the differencing parameter at an unknown time. We develop consistent estimators of the change point and the pre- and post-shift differencing parameters.

Most of the existing structural-change models presume that the impact of a change is instantaneous and occurs at the same time for all individuals. In this paper, we develop a new structural-change model to measure the lag length between the time when an economic crisis breaks out and the time...