We propose different exactly identified specifications of affine models with observed macri factors. The models are compared estimating Brazilian domestic and sovereign yield curves. Propomos diferentes especificações exatamente identificadas de modelos afins com fatores macroeconômicos...

The evolution of the yields of different maturities is related and can be described by a reduced number of commom latent factors. Multifactor interest rate models of the finance literature, common factor models of the time series literature and others use this property. Each model has advantages...

We use macro finance models to study the interaction between macro variables and the Brazilian sovereign yield curve using daily data. We calculate the model implied default probabilities and a measure of the impact of macro shocks on the probabilities. An extension of the Dai-Singleton...

Our objective is to implement a credit risk pricing model for sovereign bonds and estimate the model for a historical series of yields of emerging markets bonds. We use a reduced model with a Vasicek 2-factor model on Brazilian sovereign data. The estimation occurs in two stages. Using Maximum...

Apresenta os modelos para a curva de referências e a curva soberana emergente. Mostra os resultados numéricos das estimações e uma série de gráficos com as curvas teóricas da estrutura a termo dos juros, dos spreads e das probabilidades de default.

We use macro finance models to study the interaction between macro variables and the Brazilian sovereign yield curve using daily data. We calculate the model implied default probabilities and a measure of the impact of macro shocks on the probabilities. An extension of the Dai-Singleton...

This paper uses VAR models to discuss two main questions: a) are the indexing mechanisms that characterised the Brazilian economy for decades a thing of the past, or could they be easily reactivated in the event of some important price shock? b) given the fiscal stance, what would be the likely...