This article considers goodness-of-fit tests for bivariate INAR and bivariate Poisson autoregression models. The test statistics are based on an L2-type distance between two estimators of the probability generating function of the observations: one being entirely nonparametric and the second one...

This article considers goodness-of-fit tests for bivariate INAR and bivariate Poisson autoregression models. The test statistics are based on an L2-type distance between two estimators of the probability generating function of the observations: one being entirely nonparametric and the second one...

Lending is associated with credit risk. Modelling the loss stochastically, the cost of credit risk is the expected loss. In credit business the probability that the debtor will default in payments within one year, often is the only reliable quantitative parameter. Modelling the time to default...

This paper analyses issues related to weak exogeneity in a financial point process. We extend the Hausman test of weak exogeneity in a time series model and propose three cases in which weak exogeneity conditions will break down. The simulation study suggested that a failure of the exogeneity...

This paper analyses issues related to weak exogeneity in a financial point process. We extend the Hausman test of weak exogeneity in a time series model and propose three cases in which weak exogeneity conditions will break down. The simulation study suggested that a failure of the exogeneity...

Modeling and forecasting realized volatility is of paramount importance. Previous studies have examined the role of both the continuous and jump components of volatility in forecasting. This paper considers how to use index level jumps and cojumps across index constituents for forecasting index...

Understanding the dynamics of volatility and correlation is a crucially important issue. The literature has developed rapidly in recent years with more sophisticated estimates of volatility, and its associated jump and diffusion components. Previous work has found that jumps at an index level...