This paper reports on the design of a novel two-stage mechanism, based on strictly proper scoring rules, that allows a centre to acquire a costly probabilistic estimate of some unknown parameter, by eliciting and fusing estimates from multiple suppliers. Each of these suppliers is capable of...

This paper presents a game theoretic morphological analysis of the U.S. environmental authorities’ (i.e., EPA and DOJ) behavioural mechanisms, based on strategic interactions among the players. The models explore the role of discretion that such authorities enjoy, either in deciding how to...

Uncertainty as a self-condition of open stochastic system is a principium of development of risk representations and their influences on organizational-economic subjects and objects. Undoubtedly, taking any management decisions is followed by uncertainty influence. This circumstance absolutely...

This paper suggests a behavioral, preference-based definition of loss aversion for decision under risk. This definition is based on the initial intuition of Markowitz [30] and Kahneman and Tversky [19] that most individuals dislike symmetric bets, and that the aversion to such bets increases...

This paper approaches the risk management as a decision making process in which the best solution to an exposure is found and implemented. Such a process includes five stages: identifying the risk, assessment of exposure, analysis of the alternatives to deal with the exposure, adopting the...

The purpose of this paper is to explore different aspects of SMEs’ strategic decision-making processes in international business. In particularly, we want to understand if exist a relationship between SMEs’ decision-maker characteristics (e.g. international experience, nationality, skill),...

This paper offers a simple but powerful model of wishful thinking, cognitive dissonance, and related biases. Choices maximize subjective expected utility, but beliefs depend on the decision maker's interests as well as on relevant information. Simplifying assumptions yield a representation in...

This article reviews the investment policy in transport infrastructures carried out in the last decade and the foreseen actions in the Strategic Plan of Transport Infrastructure. It has been put forward, in the current situation, with higher infrastructure endowment levels and with superior...

In R&D-driven growth models with asymmetric fundamentals the steady-state equilibrium R&D investments are industry-specifc and they are such that R&D returns are equalized across industries. Return equalization, however, makes investors indifferent as to where to target research and, hence, the...

The explanation of investment behaviour in the light of expected utility it meant an important step in the substantiation of the theory regarding investment portofolio. It was demonstrated that the linear form of utility function excludes certain decisive decisions (Allais’s paradox), so that...