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Artificial stock markets are built with diffuse priors in mind regarding trading strategies and price formation mechanisms. Diffuse priors are a natural consequence of the unknown relation between the various elements that drive market dynamics and the large variety of market organizations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010730908
We propose an agent-based macroeconomic model (ABM) inspired by the New Keynesian general equilibrium model (NKM, Woodford 2003). We analyse the aggregate economic dynamics resulting from social learning of agents (households and firms). Households’ labour supply and consumption demand, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010579017
The use of fundamentalist traders in the stock market models is problematic since fundamental values in the real world are unknown. Yet, in the literature to date, fundamentalists are often required to replicate key stylized facts. The authors present an agent-based model of the stock market in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011723700
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Recent survey evidence suggests that investors form beliefs about future stock returns by predominantly extrapolating their own experience: They overweight returns they have personally experienced while underweighting returns from earlier years and consequently expect high (low) stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494966
Artificial stock markets are designed with the aim to study and understand market dynamics by representing (part of) real stock markets. Since there is a large variety of real stock markets with several partially observable elements and hidden processes, artificial markets differ regarding their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005288839
Most agent-based simulation models of financial markets are discrete-time in nature. In this paper, we investigate to what degree such models are extensible to continuous-time, asynchronous modelling of financial markets. We study the behaviour of a learning market maker in a market with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731087
Artificial stock markets are designed with the aim to study and understand market dynamics by representing (part of) real stock markets. Since there is a large variety of real stock markets with several partially observable elements and hidden processes, artificial markets differ regarding their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731186
Recent survey evidence suggests that investors form beliefs about future stock returns by predominantly extrapolating their own experience: They overweight returns they have personally experienced while underweighting returns from earlier years and consequently expect high (low) stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490050