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Let Xn, . . . ,X1 be i.i.d. random variables with distribution function F. A statistician, knowing F, observes the X values sequentially and is given two chances to choose X’s using stopping rules. The statistician’s goal is to stop at a value of X as small as possible. Let V^2 equal the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005752806
Let X_i be nonnegative independent random variables with finite expectations and X^*_n = max {X_1, ..., X_n}. The value EX^*_n is what can be obtained by a ``prophet". A ``mortal" on the other hand, may use k = 1 stopping rules t_1, ..., t_k yielding a return E[max_{i=1, ..., k} X_{t_i}]. For n...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005585382
A problem of optimally allocating partially effective ammunition x to be used on randomly arriving enemies in order to maximize an aircraft's probability of surviving for time t, known as the Bomber Problem, was first posed by Klinger and Brown (1968). They conjectured a set of apparently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004995404
Asymptotic results for the problem of optimal two choice stopping on an n element long i.i.d. sequence X<SUB>n</SUB>, . . . ,X<SUB>1</SUB> have previously been obtained for two of the three domains of attraction. An asymptotic result is proved for the exponential distribution, a representative from the remaining,...</sub></sub>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005752792
We study a class of optimal allocation problems, including the well-known Bomber Problem, with the following common probabilistic structure. An aircraft equipped with an amount x of ammunition is intercepted by enemy airplanes arriving according to a homogenous Poisson process over a fixed time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543158
We consider a permutation method for testing whether observations given in their natural pairing exhibit an unusual level of similarity in situations where any two observations may be similar at some unknown baseline level. Under a null hypothesis where there is no distinguished pairing of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005585374
The inequality conjectured by van den Berg and Kesten in [9], and proved by Reimer in [6], states that for A and B events on S, a product of finitely many finite sets, and P any product measure on S,P(AÊB) <FONT FACE="Symbol">£</FONT> P(A)P(B), where AÊB are the elementary events which lie in both A and B for `disjoint...</font>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005752817
We compare estimators of the (essential) supremum and the integral of a function f defined on a measurable space when f may be observed at a sample of points in its domain, possibly with error. The estimators compared vary in their levels of stratification of the domain, with the result that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008684440
We consider a sequential rule, where an item is chosen into the group, such as a university faculty member, only if his score is better than the average score of those already belonging to the group. We study four variables: The average score of the members of the group after k items have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005459366
A new Secretary Problem is considered, where for fixed k and m one wins if at some time i = m(j .. 1) + 1 up to jm one selects one of the j best items among the first jm items, j = 1,...,k. Selection is based on relative ranks only. Interest lies in small k values, such as k = 2 or 3. This is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010813841