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decomposition of risk that comes from real and monetary sides of the economy. Equity premium, volatility of the risk-free rate …, Sharpe ratio, and inflation risk premium are calibrated to quarterly historical U.S. data. Because of non … empirically reasonable values of the relative risk aversion parameter, but results in the low equity premium. However, the results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134616
the valuation equation. One measure of sentiment is assigned to capture risk aversion effects, while a broader …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110358
In recent weeks and months, a number of market commentators have drawn comparisons between the prevailing economic landscape and previous financial crises, episodes and events. These have ranged from talk of a new ‘Volcker Shock’ to a repeat of the 1987 stockmarket crash, the dot.com burst...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236089
We provide a production-based asset pricing model with dispersed information and small deviations from full rational expectations. In the model, aggregate output and equity prices depend on the higher-order beliefs about aggregate demand and individual stochastic discount factors. We prove that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415651
endogenous term premium. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and … analytical decomposition to illustrate how multiple distinct endogenous risk wedges account for these differences. Supply and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362538
This paper deals with the estimation of the risk-return trade-off. We use a MIDAS model for the conditional variance … and allow for possible switches in the risk-return relation through a Markov-switching specification. We find strong … evidence for regime changes in the risk-return relation. This finding is robust to a large range of specifications. In the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225468
underlying stock (asset) is subject to discontinuous market regime type of shifts in its mean or volatility whose risk can be … risk are priced in option markets. The results of the paper clearly indicate that stock market regime shifts constitute … significant sources of risk which are priced in option markets. Ignoring these sources of risks will lead to significant option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130931
investor base after stock splits. The results are supportive to the risk sharing hypothesis proposed by Peress (2010) who …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015351
I examine the impact of financial sector stress on risk sharing in a novel setting: the CME's weather derivatives … financial sector stress, the risk premium on futures and implied volatility of options increase significantly. The effects are … greatest for high margin and high total risk contracts. Consistent with a decline in the supply of financial capital during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937074
We formalize the idea that the financial sector can be a source of non-fundamental risk. Households' desire to hedge … against price volatility can generate price volatility in equilibrium, even absent fundamental risk. Fearing that asset prices … may fall, risk-averse households demand safe assets from leveraged intermediaries, whose issuance of safe assets exposes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705247