Showing 1 - 10 of 35,895
This paper examines the empirical significance of learning, a type of adaptive, boundedly rational expectations, in the … accumulation. Estimation results for learning models can be sensitive to the choice for the initial conditions for agents … conditions with the other parameters of the model. Maximum likelihood results show that learning under all methods for initial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005727869
learning is sensitive to the stance taken on agents beliefs at the beginning of the sample. The New Keynesian model is … estimated under rational expectations and under learning with three different frameworks for how expectations are set at the … post-war United States. The results indicate statistical evidence for adaptive learning, however the rational expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005227046
-war economic volatility within the context of a New Keynesian model. Agents form expectations using constant gain learning then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008866153
learning is sensitive to the stance taken on agents beliefs at the beginning of the sample. The New Keynesian model is … estimated under rational expectations and under learning with three different frameworks for how expectations are set at the … post-war United States. The results indicate statistical evidence for adaptive learning, however the rational expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217375
have rational expectations, but instead form expectations through least squares learning with an endogenously changing … learning gain. It has been suggested that this type of endogenously changing learning mechanism can create periods of excess … large variances for structural shocks, and the other state has relatively smaller variances. To assess whether learning can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218438
Two approaches are considered to incorporate judgment in DSGE models. First, Bayesian estimation indirectly imposes judgment via priors on model parameters, which are then mapped into a judgmental interest rate decision. Standard priors are shown to be associated with highly unrealistic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422066
Two approaches are considered to incorporate judgment in DSGE models. First, Bayesian estimation indirectly imposes judgment via priors on model parameters, which are then mapped into a judgmental interest rate decision. Standard priors are shown to be associated with highly unrealistic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216402
Existing methods for estimating nonlinear dynamic models are either highly computationally costly or rely on local approximations which often fail adequately to capture the nonlinear features of interest. I develop a new method, the discretization filter, for approximating the likelihood of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013189748
Existing methods for estimating nonlinear dynamic models are either highly computationally costly or rely on local approximations which often fail adequately to capture the nonlinear features of interest. I develop a new method, the discretization filter, for approximating the likelihood of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432773
Does time-varying business volatility affect the price setting of firms and thus the transmission of monetary policy into the real economy? To address this question, we estimate from the firm-level micro data of the German IFO Business Climate Survey the impact of idiosyncratic volatility on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317285