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forecasting ability of three more sophisticated models (two GARCH models and a two-state Markov switching model) and two simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372547
The Chicago Board Options Exchange concurrently listed European-style and American-style options on the Standard and Poor?s 500 Index from April 2, 1986 through June 20, 1986. We match near-the-money American option quotes with the most nearly contemporaneous, otherwise identical, European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360571
The Chicago Board Options Exchange concurrently listed European-style and American-style options on the Standard and Poor's 500 Index from April 2, 1986 through June 20, 1986. This unique time period allows for a direct measurement of the early-exercise premium in American-style index options....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005707675
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013461287
The financial markets, shaped by dynamic forces, including macroeconomic trends and technological advancements, are influenced by a multitude of factors impacting the S&P 500 stock index, a pivotal indicator in the US equity markets. This paper highlights the significance of understanding the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635954
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011454204
is related to dividend growth. A single dominant realised returns factor is also noted. A forecasting exercise comparing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011487829
The study reports empirical evidence that artificial neural network based models are applicable to forecasting of stock … the artificial neural network based models outperformed the ARIMA based model in forecasting future developments of the … can be used as predictors for forecasting future values of the stock market returns given that the returns has memory of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011488820
forecasting volatility model with the most appropriate error distribution. The results suggest the presence of leverage effect … forecasting model that could guarantee a sound policy decisions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489480
This paper evaluates the economic gains associated with following a volatility timing strategy based on a multivariate model of realized volatility. To study this issue we build a high frequency database with the most actively traded Brazilian stocks. Comparing with traditional volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010402112