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We compare forecasts from different adaptive learning algorithms and calibrations applied to US real-time data on inflation and growth. We find that the Least Squares with constant gains adjusted to match (past) survey forecasts provides the best overall performance both in terms of forecasting...
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I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many previously unexploited monthly and real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
This paper presents the econometric approach to causal modeling. It is motivated by policy problems. New causal parameters are defined and identified to address specific policy problems...
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approach should create the possibilities of current state observation, progress evaluation and forecasts formulation. The … schools) up to tertiary education institutions. The evaluation of education quality and accessibility ought to be associated …
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Diese Dissertation besteht aus drei eigenständigen Aufsätzen zur semiparametrischen Schätzung von Behandlungseffekten. Behandlungseffekte bezeichnen den kausalen Effekt einer Variablen auf eine bestimmte Zielgröße und die semiparametrischen Schätzungen vermeiden die parametrischen Annahmen...
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The term health econometrics has been adopted to describe the development and application of econometric methods within … health economics. This article outlines the distinctive issues that arise in applying econometrics to health data and how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010861113
informing the development of these policies. It is particularly concerned with issues arising in the quantitative evaluation of … the impact of policy, the major barriers to more effective evaluation and how these might be addressed in future. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752700