Monetary union in Germany as part of the reunification process required a conversion rate between the Deutschmark and the Mark, the currencies of West and East Germany respectively. Flows (in particular wages and pensions) were converted at a rate of 1:1, whilst there were different conversion...

If we are to learn the right lessons from the tragedy ofNandigram, then we must ensure that the government is involvedin the land acquisition process and that we correctly deal withthree sets of issues: the size and form of compensation, theeligibility for compensation and the credibility of the...

This paper considers the currency composition of sovereign debt in the context of risksharingthrough excusable defaults. It is shown that monetary credibility is not asufficient condition for borrowing in domestic currency. With real exchange rate risk,debt denominated in a borrowing country’s...

The standard model of currency crises is amended to distinguish betweenunemployment aversion and financial fragility. Fragility is assumed to affect theauthorities’ sensitivity to a combination of high real interest rates and unemployment.An increase in fragility expands the region of...

Credibility weighting is helpful in many insurance applications where sparse data crave information from other sources of data. In this paper we aim at estimating a hazard curve using the nonparametric kernel method...

BMS in force show a progressive reduction of the observed average premium, which causes a financial imbalance in the system (see LEMAIRE (1995)...

The purpose of the paper is to use the age of claims in the prediction of risks. A dynamic random effects model on longitudinal count data is presented...

We apply Lemaire's algorithm and a non-parametric mixed Poisson fit to a motor insurance portfolio in order to find the true claim frequency and claim amount distributions...