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Motivated by previous findings that discretization of financial time series can effectively filter the data and reduce the noise, this experimental study compares the trading performance of predictive models based on different modelling paradigms in a realistic setting. Different methods ranging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005841653
This paper delineates the simultaneous impact of non-anticipated information on first and second moments of the … about the precise price impact of this information. Analyzing the US employment report, we find that headline information is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297797
We use an information-theoretic approach to interpret Engle's (1982) and Bollerslev's (1986) GARCH model as a model for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299748
inherently ambivalent, being considered as an indicator of either information flow or uncertainty.We discriminate between these … volatility. This exploits the revealed reaction of investors to gauge the degree of information and uncertainty ascribed to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318768
We study the impact of private information on volatility in financial markets. We develop a comprehensive framework to … investigate this link while controlling for the effects of both public information (such as macroeconomic news releases) and … private information on prices and the effects of public information on volatility. Using a high-frequency 30-year U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325972
This paper shows that the explanation of the decline in the volatility of GDP growth since the mid-eighties is not the decline in the volatility of exogenous shocks but rather a change in their propagation mechanism.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604911
Dufour and Engle (J. Finance (2000) 2467) find evidence of an increased presence of informed traders when the NYSE markets are most active. No such evidence, however, can be found by Manganelli (J. Financial Markets (2005) 377) for the infrequently traded stocks. In this paper, we fit a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288824
contribute to such literature by investigating how we can modify the well-known information stickiness macro model, through the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010311637
Dufour and Engle (J. Finance (2000) 2467) find evidence of an increased presence of informed traders when the NYSE markets are most active. No such evidence, however, can be found by Manganelli (J. Financial Markets (2005) 377) for the infrequently traded stocks. In this paper, we fit a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003739554
-quadratic beauty contests) that feature strategic interaction and endogenous information acquisition. We adopt the rational inattention … approach to information acquisition but generalize to a large class of information costs. Agents may learn not only about … exogenous states, but also about endogenous outcomes. We study how the properties of the agents' information cost relate to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479295