In our paper, we investigate the exchange rate determination mechanism of TL/US$ for the 1987Q1-2006Q4 period using quarterly observations. Following the monetary model exchange rate determination based on the economic fundamentals, the multivariate Johansen-Juselius type co-integrating modeling...

In this paper, we investigate some of the main properties of the Turkish business cycles. Our empirical findings indicate that domestic inflation is countercyclical with real output and lags the GDP cycle by one quarter. We then construct a structural VAR model upon the Turkish economy, and...

In this paper, a multivariate co-integrating model is constructed upon the Turkish economy to examine the validity of the purchasing power parity and the uncovered interest parity theories simultaneously. Estimation results obtained from the identified co-integrating vectors support a priori...

In our paper, we try to investigate the courses of inflation tax and seigniorage revenue for policy makers of the Turkish economy. For this purpose, we first construct an ex-ante seigniorage revenue maximizing inflation model, and then calculate annual inflation tax and seigniorage revenues for...

In this paper, we examine the causal relationships between the changes in energy consumption, real income growth and domestic inflation within the conditions of the Turkish economy. Based on a contemporaneous multivariate co-integrating estimation methodology, our estimation results indicate...

In this paper, the long-run relationships between monetary aggregates, prices and real output level have been examined in a quantity theory of money perspective for the Turkish economy. Using some contemporaneous econometric techniques, our findings exhibit that stationary characteristics of the...

In our paper, the cyclical properties between real income and inflation in the Turkish economy have been tried to be examined by use of some contemporaneous filtering techniques. Our findings considering 1987Q1-2007Q2 investigation period reveal that the cyclical real income component has a...

The relationships between inflation and its uncertainty have long been perceived in the economics literature as a special research area based mainly on empirical findings. Testing the causality between these aggregates enables us to attain the significant knowledgement of whether or not...

In this paper, a money demand model constructed on currency in circulation is used to determine the appropriate alternative cost to hold monetary balances in the Turkish economy. Our estimation results, using contemporaneous multivariate co-integration methodology, indicate that the most...

In our paper, we give an essay trying to explore whether short-term capital flows can affect and/or be affected by some main domestic macroeconomic indicators called ‘pull’ factors such as real effective exchange rate, trade balance, real income growth process, domestic inflation and real...