This study investigates the role of oil futures price information on forecasting the US stock market volatility using … futures realized volatility. In particular, the multivariate HAR model outperforms the univariate model. Accordingly …, considering the contemporaneous connection is useful to predict the US stock market volatility. Furthermore, these findings are …

volatility as well as the U.S. economy. We find that - even after accounting for these factors - oil price uncertainty still has … confirms these results. Finally, significant spillover effects in the GARCH model suggest that oil price volatility is a gauge …Dieser Beitrag untersucht den Einfluss von Ölpreisunsicherheit auf die Wirtschaftsaktivität der USA mit Hilfe eines VAR …