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Prospect theory (PT) is the dominant descriptive theory of decision making under risk today. For the modeling of choices, PT relies on a psychologically founded separation of risk attitudes into attitudes towards outcomes, captured in a value function; and attitudes towards probabilities,...
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Choosing solutions under risk and uncertainty requires the consideration of several factors. One of the main factors in choosing a solution is modeling the decision maker's attitude to risk. The expected utility theory was the first approach that allowed to correctly model various nuances of the...
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Loss aversion, risk aversion, and the probability weighting function (PWF) are three central concepts in explaining decisionmaking under risk. I examine interlinkages between these concepts in a model of decisionmaking that allows for loss averse/tolerant stochastic reference dependence and...
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This paper provides empirical evidence that probability judgments help explain a reference-dependent preference by drivers in Tokyo. These probability judgments relate to reference points and drivers’ personalities and intuition, which influence the decision making, and can explain several...
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