A tradeoff between forecast accuracy and the length of an estimation period always exists in forecasting. Longer estimation periods are argued to be less efficient, however, using the forecast encompassing and accuracy test, this study discusses the importance of considering the overall...

The traditional continuous and smooth models, like the GARCH model, may fail to capture extreme returns volatility. Therefore, this study applies the bivariate poisson (CBP)-GARCH model to study jump dynamics in price volatility of crude oil and heating oil during the past 20 years. The...

The traditional continuous and smooth models, like the GARCH model, may fail to capture extreme returns volatility. Therefore, this study applies the bivariate poisson (CBP)-GARCH model to study jump dynamics in price volatility of crude oil and heating oil during the past 20 years. The...

This study investigates the volatility forecasting abilities of return-based and range-based estimators for two stock indices and two individual stocks in the U.S. stock market. The forecasting performances are evaluated by two robust statistical loss functions, and further by financial...

Financial authorities are monitoring the financial industries by their own capital to ensure that financial industries have sufficient equity capital to absorb a variety of financial business risks. The current method applied for regulating the capital adequancies of futures commission merchants...

In this paper, we investigate the determinants of daily short selling activity for retail and foreign institutions and their impacts on stock returns, volatility and liquidity in the Taiwan stock markets. By using two metrics to measure the short selling activity for two investor types, we find...

Based on the volatility timing framework, this study uses intraday futures contracts (Bitcoin, gold, E-mini S&P 500, and 10-year T-Note) to investigate the economic value of adding Bitcoin instead of gold to a traditional financial portfolio. More important, we analyze the role of rebalancing...

In this paper, we investigate the information contents of S&P 500 VIX index and range-based volatilities by comparing their benefits on the GJR-based volatility forecasting performance. To reveal the statistical significance and ensure obtaining robust results, we employ Hansen's SPA test (2005)...

In this paper, we investigate the information contents of S&P 500 VIX index and range-based volatilities by comparing their benefits on the GJR-based volatility forecasting performance. To reveal the statistical significance and ensure obtaining robust results, we employ Hansen's SPA test (2005)...