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panel cointegration techniques to derive fully countryspecific measures of misalignment and measures based on panel …-of-sample performance prior to comparing it to two final panel specifications. Robustness of the results is supported by recently introduced … cross-sectionally augmented panel unit root tests by Pesaran (2007) and bootstrapped error correction-based panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374380
-area currencies. First, using dynamic panel techniques, we estimate an error correction model for the dollar real exchange rate versus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538958
-area currencies. First, using dynamic panel techniques, we estimate an error correction model for the dollar real exchange rate versus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001720384
We revisit medium- to long-run exchange rate determination, focusing on the role of international investment positions … dynamic panel data models. In particular, in our model the long-run relationship between effective exchange rates and domestic … as well as weighted foreign prices is a homogeneous function of a country's international investment position. We find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414236
In this paper we evaluate the predictive power of the three most popular equilibrium exchange rate concepts: Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) and the Macroeconomic Balance (MB) approach. We show that there is a clear trade-off between storytelling and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012139745
reversion and assume that relative prices are unchanged. Direct forecasting or panel data techniques are better than the random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856403
für international tätige Investoren unabdingbar. Allerdings ist die Erstellung von Wechsel- kursprognosen schwierig, da … einer naiven Random Walk Prognose. Auch die Verwendung des Terminkurses als Prognose für die zukünftige … dar, von der sie sich bei der Erstellung der Prognose nicht lösen können. Zum anderen erfolgt die Anpassung der Prognose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498979
When nontraded goods prices are accounted for consistently and genuine stock data on bilateral foreign asset holdings is employed, a modified sticky-price exchange rate model by far outperforms the benchmark random walk-model in empirically forecasting the D-mark/dollar parity out of sample....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490699
apply a recently introduced panel stationary test, which accounts for sharp breaks and smooth shifts. The results indicate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308453