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We propose a novel Bayesian test under a (noninformative) Jeffreys'priorspecification. We check whether the fixed scalar value of the so-calledBayesian Score Statistic (BSS) under the null hypothesis is aplausiblerealization from its known and standardized distribution under thealternative....
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This paper is concerned with the problem of deriving expressions for the Bayesian predictive survival functions for the median of future sample of generalized order statistics having odd and even sizes. Both of the informative and future samples are drawn from a population whose distribution is...
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It is argued that a main aim of statistics is to produce statistical procedures which in this article are defined as algorithms with inputs and outputs. The structure and properties of such procedures are investigated with special reference to topological and testing considerations. Procedures...
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To improve short-horizon exchange rate forecasts, we employ foreign exchange market risk factors as fundamentals, and Bayesian treed Gaussian process (BTGP) models to handle non-linear, time-varying relationships between these fundamentals and exchange rates. Forecasts from the BTGP model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505885
We develop a copula-based pairs trading framework and apply it to the S&P 100 index constituents from 1990 to 2014. We propose an integrated approach, using copulas for pairs selection and trading. Essentially, we fit t-copulas to all possible combinations of pairs in a 12 month formation...
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The first example involves the real data given in Table 1 which are the results of an interlaboratory test. The boxplots are shown in Fig. 1 where the dotted line denotes the mean of the observations and the solid line the median. We note that only the results of the Laboratories 1 and 3 lie...
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