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This study provides a dynamic analysis of the lead-lag relationship between sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) and bond spreads of the highly indebted southern European countries, considering an extensive time sample from the period before the global financial crisis to the latest developments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175748
global credit derivatives markets. Our primary goals are to glean some information from the CDS spreads about Hungary … two rates may temporarily deviate from one another due to micro structural factors. Hungary's credit risk premium is … primarily defined in the Hungarian sovereign CDS market, which means that any new information pertaining to Hungary's credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322419
The risks to global financial stability posed by recent defaults by government borrowers have, for the most part, been manageable. However, the dynamics underpinning the ad hoc arrangements for resolving sovereign defaults are changing. Public debt burdens in many advanced economies are set to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022317
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent a country's vulnerability to contagion depends on "fundamentals" as opposed the government's "credibility"? We look at the empirical evidence on European sovereigns CDS spreads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088213
The COVID-19 pandemic provides a unique setting in which to evaluate the importance of a country's fiscal capacity in explaining the relation between economic growth shocks and sovereign default risk. For a sample of 30 developed countries, we find a positive and significant sensitivity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832689
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent a country's vulnerability to contagion depends on "fundamentals" as opposed the government's "credibility"? We look at the empirical evidence on European sovereigns CDS spreads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
Sovereign spreads can be broken up into two components: the expected loss from default and the risk premium, with the latter reflecting how investors price the risk of unexpected losses. We show that the risk premium is often the larger part of the spread
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094774
We examine the role of the CDS and bond markets during and before the recent euro area sovereign debt crisis as transmission channels for credit risk contagion between sovereign entities. We analyse an intraday dataset for GIIPS countries as well as for France and Germany. Our findings suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979715
The recent sovereign debt crisis in the euro area has seen credit spreads on sovereign bonds and credit default swaps (CDS) surge for a number of member states. While these events have increased interest in understanding the dynamics of sovereign spreads in bond and CDS markets, there is little...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059564
This paper analyzes the effects of including collective action clauses (CACs) and enhanced CACs in international (nondomestic law-governed) sovereign bonds on sovereigns’ borrowing costs, using secondary-market bond yield spreads. Our findings indicate that inclusion of enhanced CACs,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887842