Reward-based crowdfunding (RBC) is a growing industry in which consumers choose valuable innovations directly. We explore how menu design affects consumer choice in RBC by introducing an extensive dataset of Kickstarter menus. According to our findings, consumers prefer menu options with close...

Management decisions regarding maintenance protocols critically hinge on the underlying probability distribution of the time between failures in most repairable systems. Replacement of the system with a new one resets the system age to zero, whereas a repair does not alter the system age but may...

This paper introduces a new family of Bayesian semi-parametric models for the conditional distribution of daily stock index returns. The proposed models capture key stylized facts of such returns, namely heavy tails, asymmetry, volatility clustering, and leverage. A Bayesian nonparametric prior...

In many applications, data exhibit skewness and in this paper we present a new family of density functions modeling skewness based on a transformation, analagous to those of location and scale. Here we note that location will always refer to mode. Hence, in order to model data to include shape,...

In this paper, we study the drivers of customer satisfaction for financial services. We discuss a full Bayesian analysis based on data collected from customers of a leading financial services company. Our approach allows us to explicitly accommodate missing data and enables quantitative...

This paper develops a new family of Bayesian semiparametric models. A particular member of this family is used to model option prices with the aim of improving out-of-sample predictions. A detailed empirical analysis is made for European index call and put options to illustrate the ideas

Management decisions regarding maintenance protocols critically hinge on the underlying probability distribution of the time between failures in most repairable systems. Replacement of the system with a new one resets the system age to zero, whereas a repair does not alter the system age but may...

This paper shows how uncertainty about the type of return distribution (distribution uncertainty) can be incorporated in asset allocation decisions by using a novel, Bayesian semiparametric approach. To evaluate the economic importance of distribution uncertainty, the extent of changes in...

We discuss the relevance of consistency to the Bayesian. Should consistency be dismissed as irrelevant or thought about seriously when constructing prior distributions? Strong opinions have been held on this matter, but it is probably fair to say it is a largely neglected area. Pioneers, such as...