Showing 1 - 10 of 1,531
Conventional wisdom holds that war casualties depress incumbent popularity. We argue that the strength and even the … direction of these effects is inherently context-dependent because the perception of casualties varies over time and space …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010307684
Extensive research demonstrates that war casualties depress incumbent popularity. The present study argues that … political cost of war casualties (e.g., in the Korean and Iraq/Afghanistan Wars). Interestingly, the adverse effect of war … warfare either directly affect presidential popularity (e.g., in the Korean War) or their inclusion affects the predicted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010307671
Extensive research demonstrates that war casualties depress incumbent popularity. The present study argues that … political cost of war casualties (e.g., in the Korean and Iraq/Afghanistan Wars). Interestingly, the adverse effect of war … warfare either directly affect presidential popularity (e.g., in the Korean War) or their inclusion affects the predicted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009397098
Our research examines the effect of combat deployments to Iraq and Afghanistan on casualties. We use restricted data ….S. Active Duty service members having served at some point during the years 2001-2012. Casualties disproportionately occur at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011905080
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011748902
This paper investigates social preferences towards unemployment and inflation in the United States. Estimating a popularity function with monthly data for the recent Obama administration, we find that U.S. voters react strongly to both unemployment and inflation. However, reducing unemployment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294479
This is one of the first studies to estimate a popularity function at the micro-level. Using German micro-level data (GGSS/ALLBUS) for the years 1991, 1992, 1998, and 2008, we show that a positive assessment of the economy significantly improves government popularity while negative evaluations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294487
Previous research has established that taxation may entail significant electoral costs to politicians. This literature, however, focuses exclusively on the effect of the tax burden. In this paper, we test the hypothesis that both the level of the tax burden and the change in the tax structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010306992
Previous studies indicate that higher tax burdens reduce incumbents’ popularity and re-election odds. The present paper offers a new test of this relation for German data. Our findings indicate that taxation indeed negatively affects German federal government approval ratings, in line with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010307028
Up to now there was a general conviction that increasing unemployment and inflation have a negative impact on the government’s popularity. This was true for Germany as well, but it does not seem to hold any longer. This paper first reviews the results of earlier periods before presenting new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272884