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There are a number of econometrics tools to deal with the different types of situations in which cointegration can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554319
There are a number of econometrics tools to deal with the different type of situations in which cointegration can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499608
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647457
particular, they focus not only on real activity, which has received most attention to date, but also on inflation and its … most extreme aspects concern a real activity decline that was unusually long but less unusually deep, and an inflation … decline that was unusually deep but brief; and (3) its real activity and inflation interactions were strongly positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906127
This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed … from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation … Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations – 36 survey measures and the TIPS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
I present evidence that higher frequency measures of inflation expectations outperform lower frequency measures of … inflation expectations in tests of accuracy, predictive power, and rationality. For decades, the academic literature has focused … on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey, the Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
, we focus not only on real activity, which has received most attention to date, but also on inflation and its interaction … aspects concern a real activity decline that was unusually long but less unusually deep, and an inflation decline that was … unusually deep but brief; and (3) its real activity and inflation interactions were strongly positive, consistent with an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014199200
The maintenance of price stability is regarded as a key economic policy goal, as inflation is costly and hinders … economic growth. There is a vast literature on the relationship between inflation and growth across time, regions, and … inflation ranges. The conventional neoclassical view postulates a linear negative relationship between inflation and economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010718524
testing approach to cointegration. Empirical results indicated that inflation in Nigeria proxied by CPI exhibited a strong … degree of inertia. The econometric results showed that past inflation and average rainfall appeared to have been the main … determinants of inflationary process in Nigeria over the study period. We also found strong evidence of the importance of money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011534974
Inflation is a monetary phenomenon. While this statement is widely accepted in terms of a long-run relationship, the … quantity theory has been made operational also for the short-run dynamics of inflation by so-called Pstar models. An error … inflation. The response of the HICP is strongly positive. Other factors such as raw material prices and unit labor costs also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477146