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The purpose of this paper is to provide a non-technical exposition of the main conclusions of the theory of Rational Belief Equilibrium (RBE) for market volatility. It is argued that the theory of Rational Belief Equilibria (RBE) provides a unified paradigm for explaining market volatility by...
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September 9, 1997 (Updated November 28, 1998) <p> The theory of Rational Belief Equilibria (RBE) offers a unified paradigm for explaining market volatility by the effect of "Endogenous Uncertainty" on financial markets. This uncertainty is propagated within the economy (hence "endogenous") by the...</p>
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consider the implications of a risk premium that arises from endogenous market segmentation driven by variable inflation rates …. In the absence of autocorrelation in inflation, the risk premium is constant. If inflation is correlated, however, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532587
consider the implications of a risk premium that arises from endogenous market segmentation driven by variable inflation rates …. In the absence of autocorrelation in inflation, the risk premium is constant. If inflation is correlated, however, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288797
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013263029
In a parsimonious regime switching model, expected consumption growth varies over time. Adding in ation as a conditioning variable, we uncover two states in which expected consumption growth is low, one with high and one with negative expected in ation. Embedded in a general equilibrium asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012000570
that the relative equity and bond yield values are, to a large extent, driven by inflation volatility. High inflation … benign inflation volatility when the bond yield became higher. Evidence for a long span of US data, and shorter German …, Japanese, and UK data, suggests the recent rise in the equity yield is accompanied by an uptick in inflation volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963922
, currencies, oil prices, and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780277