Treasury currently has a project underway to significantly enhance its capability to produce detailed modelling of retirement incomes in Australia. The Model of Australian Retirement Incomes and Assets (MARIA) is a long-term dynamic microsimulation model of Australia's retirement income system....

Distributional analysis captures the wide range of policy outcomes and the diverse effects of policy changes across the population. Static microsimulation models are a commonly used tool for producing distributional analysis. Treasury has developed the CAPITA (Comparative Analysis of Personal...

We propose a novel combination of algorithms for jointly estimating parameters and unobservable states in a nonlinear state space system. We exploit an approximation to the marginal likelihood to guide a Particle Marginal Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. While this algorithm seemingly targets...

In a real business cycle model, an agent's fear of model misspecification interacts with stochastic volatility to induce time varying worst case scenarios. These time varying worst case scenarios capture a notion of animal spirits where the probability distributions used to evaluate decision...

In a world in which 50 percent of the population is virtually excluded from the benefits of information and communication technology, bridging the digital gap has become an imperative for the international community, particularly for the industrialized countries. The objective of this study is...

David Ricardo (1772-1823) and Thomas Tooke (1774-1858) were contemporaries in the ‘golden era’ of English classical economics, along with Malthus, Torrens and McCulloch. The central figure in that era was undoubtedly Ricardo with his vital contributions to the ‘core’ analysis of value...

In a world in which 50 percent of the population is virtually excluded from the benefits of information and communication technology, bridging the digital gap has become an imperative for the international community, particularly for the industrialized countries. The objective of this study is...

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