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The objective of the current paper is to present an intelligent system for complex process monitoring, based on artificial intelligence technologies. This system aims to realize with success all the complex process monitoring tasks that are: detection, diagnosis, identification and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011562789
Precise identification of the time when a process has changed enables process engineers to search for a potential special cause more effectively. In this paper, we develop change point estimation methods for a Poisson process in a Bayesian framework. We apply Bayesian hierarchical models to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225061
Prefetching is a simple and general method for single-chain parallelisation of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm based on the idea of evaluating the posterior in parallel and ahead of time. Improved Metropolis-Hastings prefetching algorithms are presented and evaluated. It is shown how to use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003779724
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A budget-constrained buyer wants to purchase items from a shortlisted set. Items are differentiated by observable quality and sellers have private reserve prices for their items. The buyer's problem is to select a subset of maximal quality. Money does not enter the buyer's objective function,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079991
We compare three different approaches studied by past literature on data-driven inventory optimization--- Frequentist Parametric (FP), Bayesian Parametric (BP) and Nonparametric--- for the newsvendor problem. For the Parametric approaches, we allow for mis-specification of the demand model. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846484
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Recently, Kessels et al. (2006) developed a way to produce Bayesian G- and V-optimal designs for the multinomial logitmodel. These designs allow for precise response predictions which is the goal of conjoint choice experiments. The authors showed that the G- and V- optimality criteria outperform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012730574
This note adapts results by Huang and Hidiroglou (2003) on Generalized Least Squares estimation and Empirical Bayes prediction for linear mixed models with sampling weights. The objective is to incorporate these results into the poverty mapping approach put forward by Elbers et al. (2003). The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972758