This paper examines the information content of risk-neutral moments to explain crude oil futures returns. Implied volatility and higher moments are extracted from observed crude oil option prices using a model-free implied volatility framework and the Black-Scholes model. We find a tenuous and...

This paper proposes a variant application of the Merton distance-to-default model by employing implied volatility and implied cost of capital to predict defaults. The proposed model's results are compared with predictions obtained from three popular models in different setups. We find that our...

Motivated by the complex dynamics between the oil and stock markets, this study develops a dynamic Markov regime switching-copula-extreme value theory (MRS-copula-EVT) model to quantitatively investigate financial contagion and its characteristics between these two markets. The proposed model,...

Many important decision and risk analysis problems are complicated by dependencies between input variables. In such cases, standard one-variable-at-a-time sensitivity analysis methods are typically eschewed in favor of fully probabilistic, or n-way, analysis techniques which simultaneously model...

In a well-designed enterprise risk management (ERM) program, the firm integrates risk management into the strategic planning process, addressing strategic risk, financial risk, operational risk, and hazard risk under a single overarching process. This is particularly important to large financial...

Although various asymmetric measures of market risk have been shown to be priced factors for the broader equity market, life insurer realized equity returns include a much larger premium for bearing downside risk, even after controlling for firm characteristics and other measures of risk....

This paper comprehensively investigates the dynamic hedging performance of China's CSI 300 index futures by using the realized minimum-variance hedge ratio (RMVHR) as an efficient way to utilize the high-frequency intraday information. We thoroughly examine a number of RMVHR-based time-series...

Motivated by the real-world challenges of real options evaluation faced by many companies when commodity prices exhibit dramatic volatility and project values can become negative, this paper presents a generalized framework for solving a multifactor real options problem by approximating the...

This paper proposes a variant application of the Merton distance-to-default model by employing implied volatility and implied a cost of capital to forecast defaults. The proposed model's results are compared with predictions obtained from three popular models in different setups. We find that...