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Using DCC-GARCH model, this paper finds that, since 1990, the relationship between crude oil prices and the US dollar index is time-varying, demonstrating a process of ‘very weak correlation-negative correlation-enhanced negative correlation-weakening negative correlation’, but the existing...
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This study examines the relationship between crude oil prices, US dollar exchange rates and thirty selected international agricultural prices and five international fertilizer prices in a panel framework. The study uses panel VAR methods and Granger causality tests on panel data sets of...
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We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes periods of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukrainian War. Using...
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volatility (MSV) and the multivariate conditional correlation GARCH (CC-MGARCH) framework to investigate the volatility … major findings. First, the volatility in each market is very persistent. It varies over time in a predictable manner …, conditioned on the past information. Second, the volatility in the oil market Granger-causes the volatility in the FX markets but …
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