What is the driving force of the macroeconomic fluctuations in Japan over the past forty years? To answer this question, we specify a structural vectorerror-correction model using combination of long-run and short-run restrictions. Especially by dividing the supply shocks such as neutral and...

This paper theoretically analyzes the Early Warning System (EWS) of the IMF based on the principal-agent model. We search for trade-off of the optimal contract of the IMF under the interim intervention and the noise of the signal. The main findings are as follows. First, when the net loss coming...

The elasticity of substitution between oil and capital is a key parameter when researchers analyze the effect of oil shocks on the economy by using dynamic general equilibrium models. This paper estimates the elasticity of substitution in the U.S. economy, which is consistent with a large class...

This paper measures human capital development in the Japanese workforce after WWII. An increase in workers years of schooling is believed to have aided Japans economic growth after WWII. The development of human capital has acquired increasing importance for Japans future economic growth given...

We use a VAR with block exogeneity to study the effects of oil price fluctuations on the economies of six ASEAN countries. Our method has an advantage over those used in the literature in that it allows us to focus on the effects of oil shocks while avoiding making unnecessary, and often ad hoc...

The pace of capital accumulation in East Asia has simply been stunning. In this paper, we investigate sources of this fast accumulation and make projections for the future to see if the trend is likely to continue. East Asian economies under consideration are the Peoples Republic of China; Hong...

Over the last few decades there has emerged quite a unique and interesting trade structure in East Asia, in which countries in the region trade intermediate goods heavily with themselves while trade more final goods with the rest of the world. This paper discusses the facts about this trade...