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Despite the number of studies on bankruptcy prediction using financial ratios, very little is known about how external audit information can contribute to anticipating financial distress. A handful of papers have shown that a combination of ratios and audit data is significant for predictive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039600
This paper examines the predictive performance of machine learning methods in estimating the illiquidity of U.S. corporate bonds. We compare the predictive performance of machine learning-based estimators (linear regressions, tree-based models, and neural networks) to that of the most commonly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349917
The study's objective is to check whether the predictive power of Machine Learning Techniques is better than Logistic Regression in predicting the bankruptcy of firms and that the same predictive power of ascertaining bankruptcy improves when a proxy for uncertainty is added to the model as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500824
Predicting bankruptcy within selected industries is crucial because of the potential ripple effects and unique characteristics of those industries. It serves as a risk management tool, guiding various stakeholders in making decisions. While artificial intelligence (AI) has shown high success...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502270
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Insolvency prediction and credit rating are challenging tasks used to evaluate the creditworthiness of commercial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806693
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This paper contributes a multivariate forecasting comparison between structural models and Machine-Learning-based tools. Specifically, a fully connected feed forward nonlinear autoregressive neural network (ANN) is contrasted to a well established dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014532351
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This paper constructs a leading macroeconomic indicator from microeconomic data using recent machine learning techniques. Using tree-based methods, we estimate probabilities of default for publicly traded non-financial firms in the United States. We then use the cross-section of out-of-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012182392