Speech to the Auckland Employers and Manufacturers Association, 6 August 2012 Alan Bollard and Michael Reddell

This article reproduces the paper for a speech given by Governor Alan Bollard on 30 July 2008. We argue that New Zealand’s flexible inflation-targeting framework serves the economy well, but one should not to ask too much of it. Inflation targeting is the best approach New Zealand and many...

Speech to the Auckland Employers and Manufacturers Association, 6 August 2012 Alan Bollard and Michael Reddell

This article reproduces the paper for a speech given by Governor Alan Bollard on 30 January 2009 to the Canterbury Employers’ Chamber of Commerce, Christchurch, New Zealand. It discusses the causes and consequences of the credit boom this decade in developed Western economies, the policy...

We look at how large international datasets can improve forecasts of national activity. We use the case of New Zealand, an archetypal small open economy. We apply "data-rich" factor and shrinkage methods to tackle the problem of efficiently handling hundreds of predictor data series from many...

We study how credit supply shocks in the US, the euro area and Japan are transmitted to other economies. We use the recently-developed GVAR approach to model financial variables jointly with macroeconomic variables in 33 countries for the period 1983-2009. We experiment with inter-country links...

We look at how large international datasets can improve forecasts of national activity. Weuse the case of New Zealand, an archetypal small open economy. We apply “data-rich” factorand shrinkage methods to tackle the problem of efficiently handling hundreds of predictordata series from many...